Live — Finance & Football verticals active

The Prediction Hub

Vertical forecasting markets for finance, sports, and beyond. Community-driven predictions, AI-enhanced models, expert-verified signals. One hub, many verticals.

Finance Predictions → Football Predictions →
2
Live Verticals
50+
Open Questions
3
Forecaster Tiers
5
Finance Tracks
VERTICALS

Prediction markets, organized by domain

Each vertical is a specialized forecasting community with its own questions, experts, and AI models. Altus Alpha connects them all.

Finance
Macro · AI Infrastructure · Earnings · Crypto · Global
Live
50 questions
5 tracks
36 forecasts

Fed rate decisions, NVIDIA earnings, Bitcoin targets, S&P 500 levels, semiconductor cycle, Europe vs US rotation. Three-tier model: Community + AI (Haiku Oracle) + Verified Experts.

Open Finance Predictions →
Football
Bundesliga · Champions League · Transfers
Live
22 clubs
3 tracks
— forecasts

Matchday predictions, season markets, and transfer questions across all Bundesliga clubs. Powered by Akte Bundesliga's 60+ years of data and 22 club dossiers.

Open Football Predictions →
BVB Polymarket
Real-money prediction markets via Polymarket Builder
Beta
— markets
Pinnacle odds
Oracle-verified

Real-money Bundesliga prediction markets built on Polymarket. Pinnacle-sourced odds, automated oracle resolution. Rolling out to 21 additional clubs.

Akte BVB →
Future Verticals
Entertainment · Politics · Energy · Tech M&A
Planned

Each new content vertical automatically gets a prediction layer. Same three-tier architecture, same scoring system, domain-specific experts and AI models.

Partner with us →
PLATFORM

Three layers, one ecosystem

Prediction markets are the tip. Below them: education, tools, and infrastructure that make forecasting systematic.

🎯
Predictions
Vertical forecasting markets with Brier Score leaderboards, simulated P&L, and a three-tier model (Community → AI → Expert).
Live: Finance (5 tracks), Football (3 tracks)
Architecture: Metaculus-style (no real money)
Plus: Polymarket Builder markets (real money)
📚
101 — Education
Deep research layers behind every prediction. Understand the context before you forecast.
Finance: 31 AI Infrastructure entries, Glossary
Football: 22 club dossiers, Soccer Economics
Coming: Prediction market strategy guides
⚡
Infrastructure
Picks-and-shovels layer. The tools that make prediction markets work at scale.
Live: Kelly Calculator, EV Calculator, Value Signal Classifier
Building: Hypothesis engine, backtesting
Planned: News feed, whale trades, arbitrage ticker
SCORING

How forecasters are scored

No gambling. Pure skill and calibration. Three scoring dimensions that reward accuracy, conviction, and consistency.

0.000
Brier Score
The gold standard for probabilistic forecasting. (prediction − outcome)². Range 0.0 (perfect) to 1.0 (worst). Always predicting 50% gives 0.25.
+$247
Simulated P&L
¼ Kelly on $1,000 bankroll with Polymarket costs (0.10% fee + 1% slippage). What would your forecasts be worth in a real market?
★ Expert
Promotion Path
Start as Community (30% weight). Get promoted to Expert (50% weight) through track record or invitation. AI bots hold 20%.
VISION

Where this is going

An ecosystem of vertical content sites, each with a prediction layer. One hub to rule them all.

Vertical content sitesFinance, football, entertainment, politics, energy — each with deep research and community.
Prediction layer on eachEvery vertical gets Metaculus-style forecasting. Same architecture, domain-specific experts and AI models.
Altus Alpha as hubAggregates all verticals. Unified leaderboard. Cross-vertical forecaster reputation.
Multi-model AI benchHaiku Oracle, GPT-4o, Gemini — AI models compete alongside humans on every vertical.
Expert marketplaceNewsletter creators, analysts, fund managers. Invited or promoted through track record. 50% of the headline prediction.
Real-money bridgeReputation-based markets (no money) alongside Polymarket Builder markets (real money). Separate legal structures, shared intelligence.
Infrastructure as productHypothesis engine, backtesting, arbitrage scanner, whale trade ticker. Agent-compatible APIs.
Disruptive monetizationBeyond subscriptions. Prediction-powered alpha signals, embed licensing to media partners, expert consultation layer.

Start forecasting today

Free, reputation-based, no real money. Sign in with Google — one click.

Finance Predictions → Football Predictions → Partner / Expert Inquiry →